Copa del Rey . Semi-finals
Global 0-8
Almería vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
68.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
RSO
2 - 0
ALM
35%
27%
38%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
FCB
5 - 0
ALM
84%
11%
5%
|
83 | 96 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
ALM
3 - 2
OSA
53%
25%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
DEP
2 - 3
ALM
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
ALM
1 - 1
RMA
13%
21%
67%
|
82 | 94 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
HER
0 - 3
FCB
8%
16%
76%
|
96 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
FCB
5 - 0
ALM
84%
11%
5%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
FCB
3 - 0
RAC
88%
9%
3%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
BET
3 - 1
FCB
12%
19%
69%
|
97 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
FCB
4 - 1
MAL
89%
9%
3%
|
97 | 80 | 17 | 0 |