Tercera Playoffs Final
Global 8-3
Almería B vs CP Villarrobledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
VIL
3 - 6
ALM
48%
25%
28%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
ALM
3 - 2
ACF
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
ACF
0 - 0
ALM
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
ALM
3 - 1
VRU
66%
21%
14%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
VRU
1 - 4
ALM
43%
26%
32%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CP Villarrobledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
VIL
3 - 6
ALM
48%
25%
28%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 1
ESC
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
ESC
0 - 3
VIL
46%
25%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 0
LAN
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
LAN
1 - 1
VIL
35%
24%
41%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |