Segunda B Playoffs . Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Almería B vs CD Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 1
LOR
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
UCA
2 - 0
ALM
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
ALM
2 - 1
GRA
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 0
ALM
29%
28%
43%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ALM
2 - 0
ROD
62%
23%
16%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 1
RVB
67%
20%
14%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
RMC
1 - 1
GUA
68%
18%
13%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 1
UDS
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
LEI
2 - 1
GUA
18%
26%
57%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 4
BAR
67%
21%
13%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -2 |