Almancilense vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
56.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almancilense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
PIN
1 - 1
ALM
45%
25%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
ALM
0 - 1
ARM
88%
9%
4%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
ALJ
1 - 1
ALM
27%
22%
50%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
VIA
1 - 2
ALM
30%
22%
48%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 0
LUS
47%
23%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
FAR
1 - 1
LUS
73%
18%
10%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
FAR
0 - 6
RBL
10%
20%
71%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
FAB
0 - 2
FAR
14%
22%
63%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
FAR
1 - 0
MOU
68%
21%
11%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
LOU
1 - 1
FAR
17%
24%
59%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |