Almagro vs Villa Dálmine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
35.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
GIM
1 - 0
ALM
41%
29%
31%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
SMA
1 - 1
ALM
68%
21%
12%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
ALM
0 - 3
TIG
16%
25%
59%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
INS
2 - 1
ALM
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
ALM
1 - 0
RSA
49%
28%
23%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Villa Dálmine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
DAL
1 - 2
SMA
20%
26%
54%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
INS
1 - 2
DAL
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
RSA
2 - 1
DAL
29%
28%
43%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
DAL
0 - 1
GIM
51%
27%
22%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
ALB
0 - 1
DAL
24%
27%
50%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |