Almagro vs Tigre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
58.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
INS
2 - 1
ALM
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
ALM
1 - 0
RSA
49%
28%
23%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
GIM
0 - 0
ALM
33%
32%
35%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
ALM
1 - 0
ALB
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
RAF
3 - 1
ALM
53%
26%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Tigre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
DEF
2 - 1
TIG
14%
24%
63%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2019 |
TIG
1 - 0
GIM
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
TIG
1 - 2
BRO
78%
16%
7%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 3
TIG
19%
26%
56%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
TIG
0 - 0
RIE
75%
17%
8%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |