Almagro vs Brown Adrogue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.1%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
38.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
FER
0 - 0
ALM
54%
27%
19%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
ALM
1 - 0
ALB
30%
30%
40%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
GBR
1 - 0
ALM
66%
22%
13%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2017 |
ALM
2 - 0
BRO
30%
29%
41%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
PAR
4 - 3
ALM
35%
31%
35%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Brown Adrogue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
BRO
1 - 0
IRV
47%
26%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
BUC
0 - 2
BRO
40%
29%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
BRO
0 - 1
CCS
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2017 |
ALM
2 - 0
BRO
30%
29%
41%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
BRO
5 - 1
FER
47%
28%
26%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |