Allschwil vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.4%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.4%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
0.8%
3-2
0.1%
+1
2.9%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.4%
85.2%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
17.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.8%
0-3
15.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
19%
0-4
9.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
11.7%
0-5
5.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0%
-5
5.9%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Allschwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
FCA
3 - 1
ALL
76%
14%
10%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
ALL
1 - 2
LIE
34%
21%
44%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
FCK
1 - 0
ALL
26%
20%
54%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
ALL
0 - 2
THU
16%
18%
67%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
BUB
3 - 5
ALL
62%
18%
20%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
CSK
1 - 0
BAS
29%
25%
46%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 2
LUG
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 1
BIF
62%
20%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 0
YOB
39%
24%
37%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
BIF
1 - 0
BAS
24%
24%
53%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |