Alloa Athletic vs Cove Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
40%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
3º
8º
3º
49
3º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ALL
1 - 4
FAL
25%
25%
51%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
KHE
2 - 1
ALL
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ALL
0 - 1
STI
30%
27%
43%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
QOS
3 - 4
ALL
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
AYR
6 - 0
ALL
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Cove Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
COV
1 - 2
QOS
35%
24%
41%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
MON
0 - 3
COV
37%
24%
39%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
COV
2 - 2
FAL
31%
25%
45%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
HAM
1 - 0
COV
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
HAM
2 - 2
COV
58%
21%
22%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |