Second Division Jor. 17

Alloa Athletic vs Brechin City analysis

Alloa Athletic Brechin City
49 ELO 60
23.2% Tilt 10%
2914º General ELO ranking 2984º
27º Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
28.1%
Alloa Athletic
24.4%
Draw
47.5%
Brechin City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
Alloa Athletic
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
47.5%
Win probability
Brechin City
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Alloa Athletic
+15%
-10%
Brechin City

ELO progression

Alloa Athletic
Brechin City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Alloa Athletic
Alloa Athletic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Dec. 2008
AYR
Ayr United
3 - 0
Alloa Athletic
ALL
60%
22%
18%
49 56 7 0
09 Dec. 2008
ALL
Alloa Athletic
2 - 1
Raith Rovers
RAI
40%
24%
36%
48 58 10 +1
06 Dec. 2008
EAS
East Fife
1 - 0
Alloa Athletic
ALL
56%
24%
20%
49 58 9 -1
29 Nov. 2008
RAI
Raith Rovers
0 - 0
Alloa Athletic
ALL
61%
20%
19%
48 59 11 +1
22 Nov. 2008
ALL
Alloa Athletic
1 - 3
Queen's Park
QUE
63%
21%
16%
50 47 3 -2

Matches

Brechin City
Brechin City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Dec. 2008
EDI
Edinburgh City
0 - 3
Brechin City
BRE
32%
24%
44%
60 53 7 0
22 Nov. 2008
RAI
Raith Rovers
2 - 2
Brechin City
BRE
45%
25%
30%
60 59 1 0
15 Nov. 2008
BRE
Brechin City
2 - 1
East Fife
EAS
56%
23%
22%
60 59 1 0
08 Nov. 2008
ARB
Arbroath
1 - 2
Brechin City
BRE
25%
26%
49%
59 48 11 +1
01 Nov. 2008
PET
Peterhead
5 - 1
Brechin City
BRE
39%
25%
36%
61 54 7 -2
X