Alken vs Park Houthalen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
62.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
14º
14º
43
2º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 44 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 43 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 42 |
10º
|
46% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
61.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 37 |
12º
|
61.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GRO
3 - 1
ALK
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ALK
2 - 1
HEL
31%
22%
47%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
VVZ
2 - 0
ALK
80%
13%
8%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ALK
0 - 2
WEK
23%
20%
57%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ALK
0 - 1
JHF
46%
23%
32%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Park Houthalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
PAH
3 - 0
BRE
50%
22%
28%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ZNH
1 - 5
PAH
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PAH
3 - 1
JHF
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
HFC
0 - 3
PAH
20%
20%
60%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
HER
0 - 2
PAH
41%
23%
36%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |