Alken vs Groen Star Beek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
68.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
14º
14º
55
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 44 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 43 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 42 |
10º
|
46% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
61.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 37 |
12º
|
61.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
HER
5 - 3
ALK
76%
15%
9%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ALK
0 - 2
EKS
14%
17%
69%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ACH
3 - 1
ALK
84%
11%
5%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ALK
3 - 0
BRE
20%
22%
59%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ALK
0 - 2
THA
11%
18%
72%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Groen Star Beek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
GRO
1 - 1
ZNH
69%
17%
15%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
JHF
0 - 1
GRO
12%
17%
71%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
GRO
1 - 0
VVZ
44%
22%
34%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
WEK
3 - 1
GRO
32%
23%
45%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
GRO
2 - 1
HEL
68%
18%
15%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |