Aljustrelense vs Lagos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
50.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aljustrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
QUA
2 - 0
ALJ
66%
19%
15%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ALJ
4 - 1
PES
45%
24%
31%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 2
ALJ
65%
20%
16%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ALJ
2 - 2
FAR
9%
21%
70%
|
23 | 70 | 47 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
MES
3 - 1
ALJ
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Lagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
LAG
2 - 0
SES
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
DES
0 - 3
LAG
10%
19%
71%
|
36 | 10 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
FAB
0 - 1
LAG
82%
14%
4%
|
35 | 67 | 32 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LAG
0 - 1
QUA
50%
23%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PES
1 - 1
LAG
31%
24%
45%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |