CONCACAF League Etapas Finales. 1/16
Global 6-1
Alianza vs San Francisco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
ALI
2 - 2
FAS
75%
17%
8%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2019 |
ALI
4 - 1
LDA
52%
24%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
ALI
1 - 2
RES
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2019 |
ALI
1 - 0
MUN
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
ALI
0 - 0
AGU
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
San Francisco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2019 |
SFF
3 - 1
TAU
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
SFF
1 - 1
IND
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
SFF
1 - 0
TAU
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
TAU
1 - 1
SFF
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
SFF
3 - 0
GEM
75%
17%
7%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | -1 |