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Clausura El Salvador. Segunda Fase, Matchday 6

Alianza Jocoro
37 ELO 30
51% Tilt -37%
3183º General ELO ranking 4499º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
72.9%
Alianza
17.8%
Draw
9.3%
Jocoro

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
Alianza
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9.3%
Win probability
Jocoro
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Alianza
+60%
-68%
Jocoro

Points and table prediction

Alianza
Their league position
Jocoro
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
12º
7
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Isidro Metapán
19
19
100%
Municipal Limeño
18
18
50%
Once Deportivo
18
18
50%
Alianza
16
16
50%
FAS
16
16
50%
CD Águila
15
15
100%
L.A. Firpo
13
13
50%
Santa Tecla
13
13
50%
Chalatenango
12
12
100%
Atlético Marte
10º
10
10
10º
100%
Jocoro
11º
7
7
11º
100%
Sonsonate FC
12º
4
4
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Alianza
Jocoro
Champion
0% 0%
Final season
50% 0%
Mid-table
50% 100%

ELO progression

Alianza
ALI
Jocoro
JOC
L.A. Firpo
FIR
FAS
FAS
Once Deportivo
ONC
Atlético Marte
ATL
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Alianza
Alianza
1%
X%
2%
ELO ALI ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Apr. 2021
ALI
Alianza
3 - 1
Once Deportivo
ONC
45%
27%
28%
525 526 -1 +3
08 Apr. 2021
ATL
Atlético Marte
2 - 4
Alianza
ALI
38%
28%
35%
523 210 -313 +2
04 Apr. 2021
ALI
Alianza
1 - 0
L.A. Firpo
FIR
52%
25%
22%
521 282 239 +1
01 Apr. 2021
FAS
FAS
3 - 2
Alianza
ALI
42%
28%
31%
523 394 -129 -2
20 Mar. 2021
JOC
Jocoro
1 - 0
Alianza
ALI
42%
28%
31%
525 379 -146 -2

Matches

Jocoro
Jocoro
1%
X%
2%
ELO JOC ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Apr. 2021
JOC
Jocoro
1 - 1
FAS
FAS
46%
27%
27%
376 396 -20 0
08 Apr. 2021
ONC
Once Deportivo
0 - 0
Jocoro
JOC
51%
25%
23%
376 527 151 0
03 Apr. 2021
JOC
Jocoro
0 - 1
Atlético Marte
ATL
51%
25%
23%
378 208 170 -2
01 Apr. 2021
FIR
L.A. Firpo
2 - 0
Jocoro
JOC
44%
27%
29%
381 279 -102 -3
20 Mar. 2021
JOC
Jocoro
1 - 0
Alianza
ALI
42%
28%
31%
379 525 -146 +2