Alianza vs Jocoro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
5.9%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
ATL
3 - 5
ALI
7%
18%
75%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
ATL
1 - 3
ALI
7%
18%
75%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
ALI
1 - 1
CHA
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
ALI
1 - 1
MOT
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 3
ALI
19%
24%
57%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Jocoro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
JOC
0 - 0
AGU
41%
29%
30%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
MUN
4 - 0
JOC
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
JOC
2 - 1
AGU
39%
30%
32%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
FIR
0 - 1
JOC
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
JOC
5 - 1
MUN
30%
28%
42%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |