Alianza vs Jocoro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.3%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
17.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.7%
4%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
FAS
0 - 4
ALI
15%
23%
62%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SFC
2 - 5
ALI
8%
19%
72%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
ALI
3 - 1
AGU
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ALI
3 - 0
CHA
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
PAS
0 - 2
ALI
20%
25%
55%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +7 |
Matches
Jocoro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
JOC
0 - 0
MET
48%
26%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
JOC
3 - 1
FIR
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
FAS
2 - 1
JOC
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 0
JOC
67%
21%
12%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
JOC
3 - 4
MUN
49%
27%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |