El Salvador Play Offs Clausura Semi-finals
Global 3-0
Alianza vs CD Fuerte San Francisco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2025 |
FUE
0 - 1
ALI
10%
16%
75%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
ALI
4 - 0
CDC
66%
19%
15%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
CDC
1 - 2
ALI
9%
15%
77%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
ONC
0 - 2
ALI
27%
28%
45%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
ALI
1 - 0
MET
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD Fuerte San Francisco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2025 |
FUE
0 - 1
ALI
10%
16%
75%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
FIR
1 - 1
FUE
59%
21%
20%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2025 |
FUE
0 - 0
FIR
6%
11%
83%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
MET
0 - 1
FUE
60%
24%
16%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
FUE
1 - 0
ALI
26%
28%
46%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | +1 |