Alianza vs L.A. Firpo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
33.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
6º
3º
39
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 39 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
FAS
1 - 1
ALI
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ALI
2 - 0
CDD
53%
25%
23%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
CDP
1 - 0
ALI
31%
27%
42%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ALI
1 - 2
CDC
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 39 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MUN
1 - 4
ALI
45%
27%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
L.A. Firpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
FIR
2 - 0
AGU
47%
28%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
FAS
0 - 3
FIR
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
FIR
1 - 0
CDD
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CDP
1 - 2
FIR
26%
24%
50%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
FIR
1 - 1
ONC
37%
25%
38%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |