Alianza vs FAS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
27.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
6º
3º
22
3º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 39 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
CDD
1 - 2
ALI
32%
27%
41%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2025 |
ALI
1 - 0
CDP
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
CDC
0 - 4
ALI
24%
28%
48%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
ALI
0 - 0
MUN
47%
27%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
ALI
3 - 0
ONC
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2025 |
FAS
1 - 1
AGU
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2025 |
FIR
1 - 2
FAS
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
FAS
1 - 0
CDD
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
FAS
4 - 1
CDP
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
CDC
1 - 0
FAS
24%
28%
48%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |