Alianza vs FAS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
18.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
ALI
0 - 1
FIR
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
FIR
1 - 2
ALI
20%
22%
59%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ALI
2 - 1
AGU
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
AGU
0 - 1
ALI
32%
25%
43%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
ONC
2 - 1
ALI
25%
26%
49%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
FAS
0 - 1
SAN
49%
24%
26%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
FAS
42%
25%
33%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
MUN
2 - 1
FAS
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
FAS
2 - 1
MUN
40%
25%
35%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
FAS
1 - 0
JOC
56%
25%
20%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |