Apertura Finals . Semi-finals
Global 3-0
Alianza vs FAS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
ALI
3 - 1
ONC
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
ONC
1 - 2
ALI
19%
21%
60%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
SFC
2 - 3
ALI
19%
24%
57%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 0
MET
66%
21%
14%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
ALI
1 - 2
AGU
70%
20%
10%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -7 |
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
FAS
2 - 2
SFC
59%
22%
18%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2021 |
SFC
0 - 1
FAS
26%
25%
49%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
FAS
1 - 0
MUN
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 2
FAS
39%
28%
34%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
FAS
0 - 1
ONC
49%
26%
24%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |