Alianza vs FAS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
8.1%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
MUN
2 - 2
ALI
22%
25%
53%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ALI
0 - 1
IND
83%
13%
4%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CHA
3 - 1
ALI
11%
22%
67%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
ALI
2 - 2
SFC
84%
12%
4%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
MET
1 - 3
ALI
15%
24%
61%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
FAS
0 - 1
CEV
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
AGU
1 - 0
FAS
41%
29%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
FAS
0 - 1
ONC
68%
20%
11%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
FAS
2 - 0
SAN
41%
28%
32%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
MUN
0 - 1
FAS
50%
27%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |