Apertura Finals . Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Alianza vs FAS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
8.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
FAS
0 - 0
ALI
18%
21%
61%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ALI
7 - 0
CHA
79%
15%
6%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 0
ALI
9%
16%
75%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
ALI
1 - 0
SFC
83%
13%
4%
|
77 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 1
ALI
8%
18%
74%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
FAS
0 - 0
ALI
18%
21%
61%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
FAS
2 - 0
MET
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2018 |
MET
0 - 0
FAS
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
MET
0 - 0
FAS
40%
29%
32%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2018 |
FAS
0 - 1
IND
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |