Alianza vs Chalatenango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
10.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 3
ALI
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ALI
3 - 2
ATL
78%
15%
7%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 1
ALI
19%
24%
57%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ALI
3 - 2
SAN
64%
22%
15%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ALI
3 - 0
AGU
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Chalatenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 0
CHA
35%
26%
40%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 2
CHA
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 1
ALI
19%
24%
57%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
CHA
3 - 1
ATL
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 1
ONC
31%
27%
42%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |