Alianza vs Chalatenango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
5.6%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
PAS
0 - 2
ALI
20%
25%
55%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
FIR
0 - 5
ALI
18%
24%
58%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
MET
1 - 1
ALI
20%
25%
55%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
ALI
2 - 1
IND
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
JOC
1 - 1
ALI
31%
28%
42%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Chalatenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 0
MET
32%
26%
43%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 2
JOC
31%
29%
40%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2018 |
IND
4 - 0
CHA
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
CHA
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 0
MUN
31%
28%
42%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |