Alianza vs CD Dragon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
20.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
JUV
2 - 1
ALI
39%
25%
36%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
FAS
0 - 0
ALI
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
ALI
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
AGU
0 - 0
ALI
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ALI
1 - 1
PAS
57%
25%
19%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
CD Dragon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
CDD
1 - 1
MET
30%
28%
42%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
UES
2 - 0
CDD
29%
27%
44%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CDD
1 - 0
SFC
44%
28%
29%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
CDD
3 - 2
CHA
35%
28%
37%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
JUV
2 - 2
CDD
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |