Alianza vs CD Dragon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
27.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 2
ALI
57%
24%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 0
PAS
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
FAS
1 - 0
ALI
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 0
AGU
38%
28%
34%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
JUV
1 - 0
ALI
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CD Dragon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CDD
1 - 1
JUV
28%
29%
43%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
UES
1 - 1
CDD
45%
27%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
CDD
1 - 2
MET
27%
29%
45%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CDD
1 - 0
ATL
46%
27%
28%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
AGU
5 - 1
CDD
48%
28%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |