Alianza vs Atlético Marte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
CDD
4 - 0
ALI
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
ALI
0 - 0
JUV
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
FAS
2 - 0
ALI
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ALI
2 - 2
FIR
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ALI
0 - 3
MET
35%
26%
39%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Marte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 2
AGU
72%
18%
11%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
ATL
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 1
UES
79%
14%
7%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
MET
1 - 3
ATL
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CDD
0 - 2
ATL
38%
29%
33%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |