Alianza vs Atlético Marte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
28.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
ALI
2 - 1
FIR
31%
28%
41%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
FAS
0 - 0
ALI
66%
22%
13%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
AGU
2 - 0
ALI
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
ALI
0 - 0
BAL
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ALI
7 - 1
MET
27%
27%
46%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Atlético Marte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ATL
1 - 1
MET
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
MUN
1 - 1
ATL
42%
28%
31%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
ATL
2 - 1
ALA
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
VIS
1 - 0
ATL
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
BAL
2 - 1
ATL
38%
27%
36%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |