Alianza vs Atlético Balboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2010 |
ATL
0 - 1
ALI
40%
29%
31%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
UES
1 - 2
ALI
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
ALI
4 - 0
AGU
35%
27%
37%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
FAS
3 - 0
ALI
43%
29%
28%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
MET
3 - 0
ALI
64%
22%
15%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Balboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
BAL
1 - 1
FAS
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
BAL
2 - 0
FIR
42%
26%
31%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2010 |
FAS
0 - 1
BAL
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
VIS
0 - 0
BAL
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
BAL
3 - 2
ONC
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |