Alianza vs CD Águila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
10.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ALI
3 - 0
CHA
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
PAS
0 - 2
ALI
20%
25%
55%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +7 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
FIR
0 - 5
ALI
18%
24%
58%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
MET
1 - 1
ALI
20%
25%
55%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
ALI
2 - 1
IND
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
CD Águila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
AGU
3 - 1
PAS
57%
25%
19%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
FIR
1 - 3
AGU
29%
28%
43%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
AGU
4 - 0
MET
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
IND
0 - 4
AGU
41%
28%
30%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
AGU
1 - 2
JOC
42%
29%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |