Alianza vs CD Águila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2019 |
FAS
1 - 1
ALI
16%
24%
60%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ALI
4 - 0
MUN
77%
16%
7%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
SFC
0 - 1
ALI
9%
19%
73%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2019 |
ALI
3 - 0
IND
79%
13%
7%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ALI
1 - 2
SAN
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Águila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
AGU
1 - 0
CHA
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
FIR
0 - 1
AGU
26%
26%
48%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
AGU
2 - 1
JOC
47%
28%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
MUN
3 - 0
AGU
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 0
AGU
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |