Alianza FC vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
57.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.6%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
NAC
5 - 0
ALI
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
ALI
0 - 5
TOL
20%
27%
53%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 1
ALI
68%
21%
12%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
PAT
3 - 1
ALI
43%
28%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
ALI
0 - 0
ONC
25%
27%
49%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
CHI
0 - 1
MIL
12%
23%
66%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
MIL
0 - 2
JAG
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
JUN
2 - 0
MIL
40%
28%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
MIL
3 - 1
PAS
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
EQU
1 - 0
MIL
30%
27%
43%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |