Alianza FC vs Jaguares FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
34.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ONC
1 - 1
ALI
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
ALI
3 - 0
PAT
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
SFE
1 - 1
ALI
67%
22%
11%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 3
NAC
17%
24%
59%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
ALI
2 - 3
PAS
36%
26%
38%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
JAG
4 - 3
MIL
18%
25%
57%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
AME
2 - 3
JAG
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
JAG
0 - 1
IND
25%
27%
49%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
EQU
1 - 0
JAG
55%
26%
20%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
JAG
1 - 1
AME
26%
25%
49%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |