Alianza FC vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.2%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
40.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
PAT
2 - 1
ALI
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ALI
2 - 1
SFE
24%
29%
47%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
TOL
3 - 1
ALI
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
ALI
1 - 0
LEO
51%
26%
24%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
EQU
0 - 0
ALI
54%
26%
21%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
COL
0 - 1
NAC
45%
26%
28%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 0
AME
62%
23%
15%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2018 |
MIL
1 - 1
NAC
45%
28%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
PAT
3 - 1
NAC
35%
30%
36%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 0
SFE
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |