Alianza FC vs Atlético Bucaramanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
35%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
AGU
1 - 0
ALI
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 1
JAG
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ONC
1 - 1
ALI
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
ALI
3 - 0
PAT
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
SFE
1 - 1
ALI
67%
22%
11%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Bucaramanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
BUC
1 - 1
JUN
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
IND
1 - 0
BUC
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
BUC
2 - 1
AME
33%
27%
39%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
AGU
3 - 0
BUC
41%
28%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
BUC
3 - 4
MIL
26%
26%
48%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |