Alianza FC vs Deportivo Pasto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
31.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
ALI
1 - 0
PER
39%
27%
35%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
AME
3 - 1
ALI
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 0
ALI
59%
24%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
ALI
0 - 1
AME
37%
26%
38%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2019 |
ALI
1 - 1
SFE
38%
28%
35%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Pasto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2020 |
MIL
1 - 2
PAS
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
AME
1 - 0
PAS
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2019 |
PAS
3 - 3
AGU
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
PAT
1 - 0
PAS
35%
28%
36%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2019 |
IND
3 - 2
PAS
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |