Alianza Lima vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
11.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
CAN
1 - 1
ALI
27%
32%
41%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2017 |
SRP
0 - 1
ALI
43%
30%
27%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ALI
2 - 1
SPC
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
AYA
1 - 2
ALI
33%
28%
39%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
ALI
2 - 1
MEL
56%
25%
20%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2017 |
COM
1 - 2
GAR
29%
26%
45%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2017 |
SAM
2 - 0
COM
52%
25%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
COM
3 - 1
COM
44%
26%
31%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
HUA
1 - 1
COM
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
COM
2 - 2
MUN
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |