Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
44.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
MUN
2 - 1
ALI
35%
29%
36%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 1
ALI
40%
29%
31%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2015 |
ALI
0 - 0
MEL
34%
30%
36%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CIE
1 - 0
ALI
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
ALI
0 - 1
AYA
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
SPC
2 - 2
MEL
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
SPO
2 - 2
SPC
24%
29%
48%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
SPC
0 - 0
GAR
56%
23%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2015 |
HUA
5 - 3
SPC
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SPC
1 - 1
LEO
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |