Clausura Peru Round 8

Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal analysis

Alianza Lima Sporting Cristal
71 ELO 75
-12.6% Tilt -3.1%
718º General ELO ranking 751º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
28.1%
Alianza Lima
27%
Draw
44.9%
Sporting Cristal

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
Alianza Lima
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
44.9%
Win probability
Sporting Cristal
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Alianza Lima
+12%
-2%
Sporting Cristal

ELO progression

Alianza Lima
Sporting Cristal
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Alianza Lima
Alianza Lima
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Nov. 2015
MUN
Deportivo Municipal
2 - 1
Alianza Lima
ALI
35%
29%
36%
71 66 5 0
15 Nov. 2015
UNI
Universitario Deportes
1 - 1
Alianza Lima
ALI
40%
29%
31%
71 69 2 0
05 Nov. 2015
ALI
Alianza Lima
0 - 0
FBC Melgar
MEL
34%
30%
36%
71 77 6 0
01 Nov. 2015
CIE
Cienciano
1 - 0
Alianza Lima
ALI
39%
27%
34%
71 66 5 0
28 Oct. 2015
ALI
Alianza Lima
0 - 1
Ayacucho FC
AYA
58%
24%
18%
72 63 9 -1

Matches

Sporting Cristal
Sporting Cristal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Nov. 2015
SPC
Sporting Cristal
2 - 2
FBC Melgar
MEL
56%
24%
20%
76 77 1 0
21 Nov. 2015
SPO
Sport Loreto
2 - 2
Sporting Cristal
SPC
24%
29%
48%
76 63 13 0
07 Nov. 2015
SPC
Sporting Cristal
0 - 0
Cusco FC
GAR
56%
23%
22%
76 76 0 0
05 Nov. 2015
HUA
Sport Huancayo
5 - 3
Sporting Cristal
SPC
36%
26%
38%
77 70 7 -1
31 Oct. 2015
SPC
Sporting Cristal
1 - 1
León de Huánuco
LEO
75%
16%
9%
77 65 12 0