Alianza FC vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
39.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CHO
1 - 0
AFC
32%
29%
39%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
AFC
1 - 1
AZU
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
SFF
0 - 1
AFC
35%
30%
35%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
AFC
1 - 1
LDA
25%
24%
51%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
SUN
0 - 1
AFC
32%
29%
39%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
IND
2 - 0
TAU
42%
29%
30%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
IND
1 - 0
AMA
36%
28%
35%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 0
IND
28%
28%
44%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
COS
3 - 1
IND
32%
28%
40%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
IND
3 - 1
CHO
61%
24%
16%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |