Alianza FC vs Chepo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SMI
2 - 0
AFC
61%
22%
18%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
AFC
0 - 0
AMA
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CHO
2 - 2
AFC
61%
23%
17%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
AFC
1 - 1
ARA
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
TAU
2 - 1
AFC
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Chepo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CHE
3 - 0
TAU
26%
27%
48%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SMI
1 - 0
CHE
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 1
SFF
29%
27%
44%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
AMA
0 - 3
CHE
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CHE
0 - 0
CHI
42%
26%
33%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |