Alianza FC vs Chepo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
52.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
AFC
0 - 0
CHE
21%
24%
54%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
SMI
7 - 0
AFC
75%
16%
8%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2009 |
AFC
1 - 2
CHI
20%
23%
57%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
CHO
1 - 0
AFC
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
AFC
0 - 2
TAU
17%
22%
60%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Chepo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
AFC
0 - 0
CHE
21%
24%
54%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
VER
1 - 1
CHE
22%
26%
52%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
CHE
3 - 3
SMI
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
CHI
3 - 0
CHE
46%
27%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
CHE
1 - 1
CHO
53%
27%
20%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |