Ascenso Panama Conferencia Este round 4

Alianza II vs Tauro II analysis

Alianza II Tauro II
43 ELO 54
4% Tilt 5.1%
45051º General ELO ranking 45055º
78º Country ELO ranking 82º
ELO win probability
22.4%
Alianza II
22.6%
Draw
55%
Tauro II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
Alianza II
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
55%
Win probability
Tauro II
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Alianza II
-47%
-15%
Tauro II

Points and table prediction

Alianza II
Their league position
Tauro II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
10º
34
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Champions Academy
36
36
100%
Tauro II
34
34
100%
Sporting San Miguelito II
32
32
100%
Árabe Unido II
32
32
100%
Plaza Amador II
31
31
100%
UMECIT
22
22
100%
Panamá City
21
21
100%
Alianza II
18
18
100%
San Martín
13
16
100%
Potros del Este II
10º
9
9
10º
100%
Colón C-3
11º
8
8
11º
100%
Centenario
12º
5
5
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Alianza II
Tauro II
Next round
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%

ELO progression

Alianza II
Tauro II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Alianza II
Alianza II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jan. 2023
SMA
San Martín
0 - 0
Alianza II
AFC
32%
24%
44%
44 38 6 0
22 Jan. 2023
PCF
Panamá City
0 - 1
Alianza II
AFC
43%
24%
34%
43 42 1 +1
14 Jan. 2023
CDE
Potros del Este II
0 - 0
Alianza II
AFC
67%
19%
15%
42 51 9 +1
20 Oct. 2022
AFC
Alianza II
2 - 3
Plaza Amador II
CDP
35%
24%
41%
43 47 4 -1
16 Oct. 2022
TFC
Tauro II
6 - 0
Alianza II
AFC
69%
18%
13%
44 53 9 -1

Matches

Tauro II
Tauro II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2023
TFC
Tauro II
1 - 1
Panamá City
PCF
77%
15%
8%
54 41 13 0
20 Jan. 2023
CDP
Plaza Amador II
1 - 0
Tauro II
TFC
34%
25%
42%
55 48 7 -1
16 Jan. 2023
TFC
Tauro II
6 - 0
San Martín
SMA
79%
14%
7%
54 38 16 +1
30 Oct. 2022
TFC
Tauro II
3 - 1
Sporting San Miguelito II
SSM
48%
25%
27%
53 53 0 +1
28 Oct. 2022
SSM
Sporting San Miguelito II
3 - 0
Tauro II
TFC
35%
26%
39%
55 51 4 -2