Alianza II vs Panamá City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.3%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.5%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.8%
3.9%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ARA
1 - 2
AFC
22%
23%
56%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
AFC
3 - 0
COL
79%
14%
7%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
CEN
2 - 3
AFC
31%
25%
45%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 1
AFC
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 1
UME
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Panamá City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SSM
1 - 0
PCF
76%
16%
8%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
PCF
1 - 0
CEN
17%
21%
62%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +3 |
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
PCF
0 - 2
ARA
33%
23%
44%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
COL
2 - 0
PCF
62%
19%
19%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 0
PCF
83%
12%
5%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |