Alianza II vs Champions Academy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
54.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
4º
10º
8º
36
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
36 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
UME
6 - 0
AFC
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
SSM
2 - 1
AFC
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
CDP
2 - 0
AFC
69%
18%
14%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 1
TFC
22%
23%
55%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 0
AFC
32%
24%
44%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Champions Academy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
PCF
0 - 0
CHA
29%
27%
44%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
4 - 3
CDE
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 0
SSM
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 2
UME
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CEN
0 - 1
CHA
11%
20%
69%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | 0 |