Alianza Coronel Moldes vs Argentino Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
30.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Coronel Moldes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
ATE
2 - 1
ALI
27%
23%
51%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
ALP
4 - 1
ALI
45%
24%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
ALI
4 - 2
GPJ
38%
24%
39%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 0
ALI
62%
21%
18%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 2
ATL
39%
23%
38%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Argentino Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ARG
2 - 1
ATE
66%
19%
15%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
ALP
1 - 1
ARG
50%
23%
27%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
GPJ
1 - 1
ARG
57%
22%
22%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
ARG
1 - 1
SAR
31%
25%
44%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 1
ARG
64%
19%
16%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |