Olancho FC vs FC Motagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
8º
4º
34
1º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olancho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
ALI
2 - 1
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
VID
2 - 1
ALI
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ALI
1 - 0
CDG
72%
19%
9%
|
73 | 23 | 50 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
OLI
0 - 0
ALI
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 0
JAG
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
MOT
1 - 0
VID
53%
25%
23%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
RSO
1 - 3
MOT
31%
27%
43%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MOT
0 - 2
OLI
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
JAG
0 - 2
MOT
27%
26%
47%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
MOT
2 - 0
MAR
43%
27%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |