Alianza Atl. Sullana vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
41.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
GAR
3 - 0
ALI
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
ALI
0 - 3
BIN
62%
22%
17%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -2 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
VAL
2 - 0
ALI
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 0
HUA
53%
25%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 2
ALI
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
MEL
3 - 0
AUN
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
MEL
2 - 2
GAR
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
BIN
1 - 5
MEL
31%
26%
44%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 1
VAL
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
HUA
0 - 3
MEL
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |