Alhowra FC vs Hottain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
55%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alhowra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 1
AFC
67%
21%
13%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
AFC
3 - 2
TFC
17%
23%
60%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | +5 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 2
AQS
21%
21%
58%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
ASB
2 - 2
AFC
74%
16%
10%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
JRS
1 - 0
AFC
79%
14%
7%
|
24 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Hottain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
HOT
0 - 1
34%
27%
39%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
WEG
1 - 1
HOT
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
HOT
2 - 1
ANS
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
ALJ
1 - 0
HOT
57%
24%
19%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
HOT
0 - 1
BFC
28%
27%
46%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |